Category: Politics

Syria Country Outlook

POLITICAL STABILITY: The EIU believes that the regime of Syria’s president, Bashar al-Assad, and his ruling Baath party will be unable to retain power in the face of ongoing protests through its current method of heavy-handed repression and superficial reforms.…

Iran Country Outlook

POLITICAL STABILITY: The EIU expects the two heads of the Iranian regime, the supreme leader (and ultimate religious and political authority), Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and the hardline and confrontational president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, to retain their posts (although Mr Ahmadinejad will…

Libya Economic/Political Outlook

POLITICAL STABILITY: Libya has descended into civil war, as pro- and anti-regime forces battle for control of the country. Political uncertainty will remain high for the foreseeable future. The first signs of a popular uprising emerged in mid-February, when a small…

Egypt Economic/Political Outlook 2011-2012

POLITICAL STABILITY: Egypt has entered a period of heightened political instability, which will continue for the first half of the forecast period. The popular uprising, which led to the ouster of Hosni Mubarak, the former president, was a momentous event unparalleled in…

Sino-Indian Relations: A Thaw in the Offing?

A series of moves by China indicate that it is exploring new options in its relationship with India, including a policy of engagement. By Rupakjyoti Borah for ISN Insights

Syrian Security Forces Conduct Deadly Overnight Raids

At least five people have been killed after Syrian security forces conducted overnight raids, in an apparent crack down on dissent. Activists said Saturday that forces moved into a Damascus suburb and opened fire on civilians. The Associated Press says…

Jordan financial/political risk summary

Jordan: risk assessment Sovereign risk Currency risk Banking sector risk Political risk Economic structure risk Country risk June 2011 B B B CCC B B Stable. The government has found buyers for its debt at the domestic banks in the past. However, the sovereign riskrating will continue…

Lebanon financial/political risk summary

Lebanon: risk assessment Sovereign risk Currency risk Banking sector risk Political risk Economic structure risk Country risk June 2011 CCC B B CC CCC B Sovereign Risk Stable. Lebanon has a huge public debt/GDP ratio—an estimated 133.8% of GDP in 2010. Local and regional political instability…