Category: Politics

Political/Economic Outlook July 4th Edition

Inflation The Fed and Biden’s White House finally have something that they can agree and coordinate on – inflation. This is the dirtiest word in the beltway, as it is the #1 killer of political careers.  People may be swayed by complex social media campaigns, but nothing hits…

The Looming Republican Civil War

Trump vs the embedded GOP leadership, and the old guard will not win.  After watching the impeachment trial in the Senate, we can now go back to being observers in the fight for control of the Republican Party.  Since he left…

Georgia Senate election update

Update: 70,000 new registered voters from November to December threw my model off. Modeled party early voting from Targetsmart had the GOP up 47.5% to 45.7%. In line with Albert’s calculations that the Dems could not replicate voter drive in…

Macedonia’s inconclusive election indicates continuing political uncertainty in 2017 with probable new vote, stalled anti-corruption efforts

Key Points If the political parties fail to reach consensus over government formation – a reasonably likely scenario – an early election is likely in May 2017. Protests, posing moderate risks of collateral damage to vehicles and building fronts, and…

Calexit’ group opens Russian embassy

California secession organizers say they’ve opened an embassy — in Moscow California gained an embassy in Russia last weekend, at least in the eyes of those who have promised to seek a statewide vote on secession, nicknamed “Calexit,” in 2018.…

Russia Bets on China: Picking the Wrong Horse in the Short Term and Long

Russians are waking up to the fact that Vladimir Putin’s much-ballyhooed “turn” to China is not bringing Russia the benefits he promised or that they expected. Not only has Beijing refused to tow Moscow’s line on a variety of international…

A Good Year (So Far) for Europe’s Separatists

The European Union’s (EU) separatist movements have never had it so good. Faltering economic conditions, unpopular austerity measures and ‘out of touch’ governments have combined to reignite secessionism like never before. As a result, separatist fervour has never been so…

Russia Is Reinforcing 3 Crucial Geopolitical Frontlines

Russian President Vladimir Putin signed off on a new military doctrine for the country on Dec. 26 last year. The new doctrine, beyond explicitly stating that NATO’s expansion was the main external threat facing Moscow, calls for reinforcing three geopolitical fronts that Russia…