By Richard Weitz In late August, 2018 the Chinese Foreign Ministry published its position paper regarding the 73rd session of the UN General Assembly, which will run from September 18 and October 5 in New York. In this document, Beijing…
Uncategorized
Dr. Harald Malmgren’s Global View
Dr. Harald Malmgren is a recognized expert on world trade and investment flows. Full info and related articles are highly recommended and found at Defense.info At Yale University Malmgren was Scholar of the House and research assistant to Nobel Laureate Thomas…
Asia, China
The return of political risk for Xi
The ruling Chinese Communist Party (CCP) wraps up its annual summer retreat at the northern coastal town of Beidaihe. The meeting comes amid signs of dissent within the Chinese political system as the president, Xi Jinping, struggles to manage an intensifying…
Economy
Global risk scenarios
Risk scenarios Events may diverge from The Economist Intelligence Unit’s forecast in ways that affect global business operations. The main risks are represented by the following scenarios. Very high risk = greater than 40% probability that the scenario will occur…
Asia
Japan Deploys Flotilla to South China Sea
Three ships of Japan’s Maritime Self Defense Force (JMSDF) departed on August 26th for a two-month deployment to Southeast Asia and the Indian Ocean. A JMSDF statement says that the deployment seeks to improve its own operational capability and promote interoperability…
Iran
Iran likely to turn to Russia, Turkey, and China to offset sanctions, not risk war over Hormuz
Key Points Iran is trying to consolidate politically and appease protesters to prevent sanctions from destabilising the country; this risks backfiring and reducing leadership cohesion. Iran will turn to China, Russia, and Turkey to reduce the impact of sanctions, but…