Category: Uncategorized

The Crisis that never was – An Italian perspective

By: Giovanni Ponzetto Covid notwithstanding, I believe that the authorities do not yet appreciate the extent of the crisis now facing the EU…..they will, but we are not there yet. One of many things about Europe that irritates me, during…

News in Brief

Trump at CPAC Trump makes his first political appearance at CPAC Feb 28. Fresh off impeachment 2.0 “victory”, Trump looks to make his political future a bit clearer in Orlando this weekend. The realization by Nikki Haley, Mitch McConnell and other GOP…

A former ally takes on Macron

It was a key, decisive moment for Emmanuel Macron when Francois Bayrou teamed up with him during the presidential election campaign in 2017. Bayrou, the eternal bridesmaid in French politics, gave up his own candidacy to back Macron, who was…

Italian political crisis: likely outcomes

1. The reasons we have had the two successive Conte governments is that at no time since the previous general elections, polls have credibly indicated a parliamentary outcome conducive to a “suitable” successor to Mattarella in  a snap election. The post…

Biden’s Biggest Decision

Joe Biden’s new administration faces a murderers’ row of hard decisions on everything from controlling the Southern border to dealing with Iran. But one choice dominates all of them: Does Biden intend to govern from the center-left or to make…

Brief: The Fink-Powell Fed Making Trump’s Market Irrelevant

Eyes opened when the news came out that Steve Mnuchin had requested the Fed return unused stimulus money. Money that Powell and Fink have used to artificially boost the market, making Trump’s declarations that he was the sole person responsible…

EU Economy: Dude, where’s my money?

Why the attempt at suppressing the reward of dispossessing oneself (i.e., “Interest”) failed… and where has that money gone. It sometimes happens. You are tired, distracted, scared, nauseous…. and that’s when it hits you, a different way of looking at…

Political Calculations for Trump Election Drama with Fiscal Commentary

  Political calculations in the next 30 days ·         Timetable of events leading to the electoral college vote on December 14 ·         But perhaps instead of flipping 6 states, it’s time for the ‘faithless electors’ ·         Is a Fiscal Stimulus Deal Possible by Year-End? ·         US…

Overview assuming a Biden Administration

For Trump: Neutral. Losing in a manner that is extremely questionable in people’s eyes will only make him a martyr. He will use this to grow a new media and political organisation for the future. For Dems: Absolute disaster. Trading…