Category: Middle East

AQAP’s success increases the likelihood of it mounting an attack against the West

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Key Points AQAP is actively engaged in the Yemeni civil war alongside local Sunni tribes, embedding itself in local resistance forces fighting the Houthi Movement. By exploiting a persistent security vacuum and the absence of effective state institutions, AQAP is…

Egypt redefines national security and diplomatic priorities to align with containing jihadism and unrest risks

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Key Points Diplomatic and economic relations with Saudi Arabia will decline further in 2017 as Egypt reassesses its domestic security requirements under its weak financial position. Cairo’s regional policy is likely to be motivated by a Russian-Iranian confrontation with Salafist-jihadist…

A temporary reprieve for OPEC

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OPEC has agreed to reduce current production levels in the first such move since the 2008 global financial crisis. The deal marks a major reversal of the “free-for-all” market-share strategy that Saudi Arabia and other Gulf Arab states have adopted…

Perspectives for Israeli Gas in Southern Gas Corridor Hampered by Economic Limitations

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Jamestown: Israeli Ambassador to Azerbaijan, Dan Stav, announced, on November 6, that his country was “considering the possibility to transport its natural gas to Europe via the Trans Anatolian Natural Gas Pipeline [TANAP] through Turkey.” Earlier, on October 14, Turkish…

Why Islamic State Is Clinging on to the Syrian City of Manbij

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The Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) officially launched its operation to take the city of Manbij on May 31. It is one of the most strategic and difficult operations the SDF – an alliance that includes Kurdish People’s Protection Unit (YPG)…

After the abortive coup, the Turkish intelligence service MIT is in Erdogan’s sights

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Some 150 agents have been sacked from the the Milli Istihbarat Teskilati (MIT), Turkey’s intelligence service, in a post-abortive coup purge that could even see MIT chief Hakan Fidan’s head also roll. The service has been accused of failing to anticipate and prevent…

Iranian plan to reorganise Syrian Army

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Tehran has proposed a major plan to the Syrian government to reform its military along the lines of Iran’s. The high command of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, or Pasdaran, recently presented its proposals for a profound reorganisation of the Syrian Army to…

Tehran tightens grip on Iraq’s INIS

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The recent appointment of Moustafa al-Kazemi as the new head of the Iraqi intelligence service demonstrates the control Tehran now has over Baghdad’s security apparatus. Iran’s political and security apparatus has scored another victory in Iraq. Moustafa al-Kazemi, one of Tehran’s…

Oman as a Counter-Terrorism Model for the GCC States

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Omani youth, according to one recent poll, see the ideology of Islamic State (IS) as the largest obstacle facing their Gulf nation (Times of Oman, April 16). The survey, conducted by international polling firm Penn Schoen Berland, found that young Omanis…