Category: Economy

A National Security Perspective on Vertical Farming: Reducing Supply Chain Vulnerabilities

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Since the very earliest wars, battlefield commanders have known that a successful strategy is to use food as a weapon. Vertical farming is a bold approach that will become a critical national asset — and will require protection. Vertical farming…

Global risk scenarios

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Risk scenarios Events may diverge from The Economist Intelligence Unit’s forecast in ways that affect global business operations. The main risks are represented by the following scenarios. Very high risk = greater than 40% probability that the scenario will occur…

China’s OBOR Initiative and it’s Debt Burden Choking Emerging Markets

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Across the world, China is busy lending large sums of money to economically vulnerable countries and then leveraging that debt for strategic gain. That’s according to a new academic report prepared for the US State Department by the Harvard Kennedy…

China’s One Belt One Road Initiative – A push for influence or debt?

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An interview with Sijbren de Jong, a strategic analyst at The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies. Interviewer: Małgosia Krakowska neweasterneurope.eu MAŁGOSIA KRAKOWSKA: When the Chinese president announced the One Belt One Road Initiative (OBOR), it was hailed as the “project…

Saudi America – How New Tech Is Creating Another Oil Boom

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Just when you thought there couldn’t be any more oil in Texas … new technology is about to unlock an extremely shallow field that is brimming with heavy oil that has been impossible to recover–until now. Many oil companies have…

A Global Eurodollar Shortage

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The World Bank just released a telling report entitled “Trade Developments in 2016: Policy Uncertainty Weighs on World Trade”. Though they deflect the problems in global trade to areas such as excessive regulatory initiatives and policy uncertainty (which is true),…

Something I just saw in the charts made me sell all my stocks: Trader

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Trouble in the charts sent one previous market bull running to sell all his stocks, as Todd Gordon of TradingAnalysis.com sees two key “warning [signs]” brewing that could take down the rally.”I flattened out all my positions on the 21st,”…

OFAC Designation of Putin’s Spy Agency May Trip Up U.S. Exports

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The recent OFAC sanctions on Russia’s FSB né KGB, which is the Kremlin’s spy agency, may have unintended consequences. According to this article on the Russian website by my friend Иван Ткачёв (Ivan Tkachev) the FSB, besides doing typical spy things, is also…

Iran: financial risk assessment

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Sovereign risk Currency risk Banking sector risk Political risk Economic structure risk Country risk October 2016 BB B CCC CCC B B Robert Powell (lead analyst); Pat Thaker (analyst). Published 14 October 2016, 2100 GMT. The ratings contained in this…

A temporary reprieve for OPEC

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OPEC has agreed to reduce current production levels in the first such move since the 2008 global financial crisis. The deal marks a major reversal of the “free-for-all” market-share strategy that Saudi Arabia and other Gulf Arab states have adopted…