Category: Africa

Sudan pressures the US by threatening Russian naval base on the Red Sea

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The US will probably remove Sudan from the SST before end-December, owing to sustained progress in counter-terrorism co-operation and on regional security. Although President Bashir asked for Russia’s support against alleged “US aggressive acts” on 23 November, this is likely…

Prominent tribal leader assassinated in car bombing in Libya

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A car bomb exploded near Bilal Ben Rabah mosque in Suluq, eastern Libya killing the prominent leader of Awageer Tribe, Ebrik Al-Lawati. The car bombing came after Friday prayer according to sources from the city. This bombing is no accident,…

One Belt, One Road: an economic roadmap

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OBOR IN AFRICA SGR: a window on Africa opportunities and risks One of the highest-pro le infrastructure projects in East Africa is Kenya’s Standard Gauge Railway (SGR). At an estimated total cost of KSh1.2trn (US$14bn), the SGR constitutes the largest…

Egypt redefines national security and diplomatic priorities to align with containing jihadism and unrest risks

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Key Points Diplomatic and economic relations with Saudi Arabia will decline further in 2017 as Egypt reassesses its domestic security requirements under its weak financial position. Cairo’s regional policy is likely to be motivated by a Russian-Iranian confrontation with Salafist-jihadist…

Tuareg Rebels Step Back From Panel Implementing Mali Peace Accord

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The main separatist group in northern Mali, the Coordination of Azawad Movements (CMA), has suspended its participation in a committee charged with implementing a 2015 peace accord, according to a statement seen Tuesday by Reuters. The document, dated December 19…

DGSE operations in Libya

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The death of three DGSE officers in Libya on July 17 sheds light on the French external intelligence service’s activities in the country. At the forefront of missions in Cyrenaica, the DGSE does not work alone in Libya. It benefits from both…

Escalating violence in Niger Delta and Biafra regions represents a major security challenge for the oil-rich south of Nigeria

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ESISC: Since the beginning of the year the steady raise of violence in Nigeria’s southeast demonstrate a new alarming trend for regional security since Goodluck Jonathan, the first president from the Niger Delta regions, lost re-election in March 2015. The…

Middle East and North Africa risk: Alert – Islamic State displays its reach

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The series of attacks that hit three countries on June 26th—France, Kuwait and Tunisia—has highlighted the growing global threat posed by Islamic State. The extreme jihadi group’s declaration of a self-styled caliphate in eastern Syria and western Iraq, and its…

Can the Islamic State Establish a Foothold in Mainland Egypt?

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Executive Summary The Islamic State, via its Sinai-based branch, Wilayat Sinai, continues to attack the Egyptian military and security services despite a surge in the number of army and security personnel. Northern Sinai is an ideal operational environment for an…

African nations gear up to counter Islamic terror groups

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Key Points New Nigerian president Muhammadu Buhari is close to making good on his promise to attack Boko Haram, after months of intensive preparations. Unprecedented co-operation with, and assistance from, regional neighbours is likely to give Nigeria the chance to…